R-15: Earned Value Analysis Report
Data Date: 28 Feb 2026
Earned Value Analysis Report
ANSI/EIA-748 Compliant — Cumulative-to-Date Performance Summary
Project
Coastal Radar Upgrade
Contract
DAAB07-24-C-0412
Data Date
28 Feb 2026
% Complete (Time)
63.0%
Contract End
30 Sep 2026
BAC
$124.8M
Budget at Completion
BCWP
$71.4M
Earned Value CTD
BCWS
$78.5M
Planned Value CTD
ACWP
$73.6M
Actual Cost CTD
SPI
0.91
Schedule Perf. Index
CPI
0.97
Cost Perf. Index
EAC
$128.7M
Estimate at Completion
VAC
-$3.9M
Variance at Completion
Earned Value Performance Summary — Cumulative to Date
WBS / Metric BCWS ($K) BCWP ($K) ACWP ($K) SV ($K) CV ($K) SPI CPI EAC ($K) ETC ($K) TCPI VAC ($K)
1.1 Site Preparation 4,820 4,820 4,910 0 -90 1.00 0.98 5,013 103 0.00 -103
1.2 Foundations & Civil 12,400 11,800 12,100 -600 -300 0.95 0.98 15,641 3,541 1.09 -1,441
1.3 Antenna Systems 21,300 18,600 19,200 -2,700 -600 0.87 0.97 28,247 9,047 1.07 -2,047
1.4 Electronics / RF 18,700 17,400 17,800 -1,300 -400 0.93 0.98 22,908 5,108 1.04 -908
1.5 Power Systems 9,100 9,100 8,950 0 +150 1.00 1.02 9,706 756 0.98 +294
1.6 Command & Control SW 7,500 6,200 6,400 -1,300 -200 0.83 0.97 12,371 5,971 1.03 -371
1.7 Integration & Test 2,200 1,900 1,950 -300 -50 0.86 0.97 7,938 5,988 1.01 -938
1.8 Project Management 2,480 1,580 2,290 -900 -710 0.64 0.69 9,217 6,927 0.48 -1,417
CONTRACT TOTAL 78,500 71,400 73,600 -7,100 -2,200 0.91 0.97 128,706 55,106 0.97 -3,906
Performance S-Curve — CTD ($M)
BCWS (Planned)
BCWP (Earned)
ACWP (Actual)
EAC Forecast
0 40 80 120 Apr'25 Jun'25 Aug'25 Oct'25 Dec'25 Feb'26 Apr'26 Data Date BAC
CPI & SPI Trend — Monthly Performance
CPI
SPI
Target = 1.00
1.00 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1.03 0.97 0.91
EAC Comparison — Four Completion Estimate Methods
Method Formula EAC ($K) ETC ($K) VAC ($K) % Over/Under BAC Basis
Method 1 — CPI Only BAC / CPI 128,706 55,106 -3,906 +3.1% Past cost efficiency sustained
Method 2 — SPI × CPI ACWP + ETC/(SPI×CPI) 141,382 67,782 -16,582 +13.3% Schedule pressure drives cost overrun
Method 3 — Management Estimate ACWP + ETC (bottoms-up) 131,200 57,600 -6,400 +5.1% PM risk-adjusted estimate
Method 4 — BAC/TCPI (budget) ACWP + (BAC–BCWP)/TCPI 124,800 51,200 0 0.0% Remaining work at TCPI=0.97 (optimistic)
Performance Narrative — February 2026

The Coastal Radar Upgrade project is experiencing a cumulative schedule slip of $7.1M (SPI 0.91) driven primarily by delays in Antenna Systems (WBS 1.3) and Command & Control Software (WBS 1.6), where activity-level float has been consumed by integration sequencing constraints. The SPI has declined steadily from 0.99 in September 2025 to 0.91 as of data date.

Cost performance remains marginally below budget (CPI 0.97, CV –$2.2M). The most significant cost risk lies in Project Management (WBS 1.8), where CPI has reached 0.69, attributed to unplanned oversight activities related to antenna procurement non-conformances. Without corrective action, CPI-based EAC projects a $3.9M overrun against the $124.8M BAC.

Corrective Actions Required: (1) Recovery schedule for Antenna Systems integration to recover 30 days by Q2 2026; (2) PM cost containment plan with weekly burn-rate review; (3) Formal EAC re-baseline submission to contracting officer by 15 March 2026 if VAC exceeds contract threshold.